POLL: Trudeau Liberals Lead Scheer Conservatives 42% to 35%

With 48% saying they have no opinion of Scheer, the Conservatives must act fast before Trudeau negatively defines him in the eyes of millions of Canadians.

A poll by Forum Research shows the Trudeau Liberals seven percentage points ahead of the Scheer Conservatives.

The NDP – without a permanent leader – are far behind.

Here are the results:

  • Liberals – 42%
  • Conservatives – 35%
  • NDP – 14%
  • Bloc – 4%
  • Green – 4%


Trudeau approval vs Scheer approval

With Andrew Scheer still introducing himself to Canadian voters, Trudeau retains a large approval lead.

According to the poll, 49% approve of Trudeau, while 42% disapprove.

For Scheer, 25% approve, 26% disapprove, and 48% say they don’t have an opinion.

A dangerous moment for Scheer

Andrew Scheer is facing a dangerous moment. With his approval/disapproval numbers nearly balanced, and almost half of all Canadians having no opinion of him yet, he is at risk of being defined negatively by the Liberals. Just as Stephen Harper was able to negatively define Stephane Dion and Michael Ignatieff, Scheer is at risk of being cut off from the support of millions of Canadians before he really gets a chance.

That’s why the Conservatives should use some of their vast fundraising dollars to run a positive ad campaign introducing Scheer to Canadians before the Trudeau Liberals can destroy his image.

Additionally, the Conservatives will need to be tough and relentless pointing out Trudeau’s damaging policies and harmful agenda. Because much of the elitist corporate media is pro-Trudeau, the Conservatives have to work harder to push their message through the filter.

Finally, while a new NDP leader could make a difference, these poll results – and the trend over the last few years – show that the Conservatives can’t rely on their old strategy of splitting the Liberal vote into a stronger NDP. The Conservatives will have to figure out how to get into the 40’s in terms of support, something Harper was unable to do.

As I’ve said before, this will require a focus on economic nationalism that puts the interest of Canada’s workers and businesses first at all times. While the Liberals are the party of big corporations and banks, the Conservatives have often been tagged with that image as well. They will need to push back against that, and push back against the globalist agenda of opening our country up to be bought by foreign countries. They will also need to fight against trade deals that crush the wages of Canadian workers.

Scheer has already taken a step in that direction by opposing the idea of a Canada-China free trade agreement (which is being pushed by globalist stooge Trudeau), but he and the Conservatives will need to push back against that agreement much more strongly, and will need to make a concerted effort to become the party of Canada’s working class.

If they fail to do that, they may still be able to win 30% to 35% of the vote, but it doesn’t look like that will be enough to defeat Trudeau in 2019.

Read the full poll here

Spencer Fernando


The elites want to hide their many failures behind political correctness, deception, and manipulation. We need to push back and spread the truth.

That’s why I write.

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20 comments Add yours
  1. As a card carrying member of the CPC I worry that that the lack luster performance of Sheer with his seeming vapid messaging definitely puts him both at risk of being labeled negatively by the Liberals and the conservative base with the result of Sheer being defined as a liberal lite.
    I find it very difficult getting enthused with Sheer at this point, but will keep an open and conservative mind hoping to see a positive shift to a CONSERVATIVE mind set with Sheer.

    1. I as well am a card carrying CPC member – no doubt Sheer is intelligent and appeals to the down to earth folks what with half a baseball team for a family but I agree that he must up his game – at the vote I penciled in Bernier to lead but his past may have bit him in the arse but none the less I believe he may have been tougher . Something must be done before the election – Regardless of how the CPC shake things up certainly Canadians can see what Trudeau is doing to this country – we may never recover .

  2. We need to get the truth out there more…I hope this is wrong. Where do these figures come from?? I would think that the Conservatives have overtaken the corrupt Liberals.

  3. Well you know when PET was in power we were continually told he was ahead in the polls Sure hope history is not repeating itself

  4. Unfortunately, I must agree with the above. Having said that, I often wonder, having been in and around the political arena for many years back, if Canadians will ever mature quickly enough to understand the political mindset and adjust our collective political thinking in a manner to dissect what is really being said from the reality of what should have been said. I have said time and time again over the years that ‘good living’ made us political targets and instead of paying close attention to the political system we more or less ‘left the hen house door open, ignoring the fact that the foxes were always hungry and clever.’ Today we witness the result of such an immature mentality, which could, in fact, be the downfall of our country.

    1. Jack Grandville … You hit the nail on head!! To many for far too long weren’t paying attention or even taking notice to what was going on politically. They got to comfy in their spoiled lives to think they needed to pay attention and everything will and would always be as before and/or okay. Because of this immature mentality shared by far too many, makes those of us who care and are paying attention, very pissed off at what is now happening!

  5. Scheer needs an election campaign team that understands the new paradigm,and doesn’t campaign on the old conservative platform of fiscal expertise and competent management.
    Most Canadians,especially civil servants,are doing very well under this Liberal government,the economy is doing well, and Trudeau is winning the hearts and minds of Canadians with his constant campaigning all over Canada.

    That’s what the Liberal masterminds had in mind for him when they decided to promote him for LPC leader.It’s a very good plan that has worked beautifully for the LPC.

    Scheer needs advisors to work on his image,and a Henry Higgins to train him to become the most exciting and inspirational speaker since the well trained Barack Obama,who,you may have noticed,won two Presidencies based on his very good speaking ability.The guy was like an old time evangelist,and it worked. Beyond his oratorical skills,he had nothing,but no one noticed for eight years,many still don’t get it.

    Scheer is dull. That’s not a comment on his mental acuity,but his image,Bob Stanfield the second,and that won’t work with today’s voters. Like it or not,voters today want much more than sound but DULL fiscal policies,they want to be entertained,they want to be seduced,and a good speaker can do just that.

    Trudeau is a mediocre speaker who has been trained and coached to repeat all the cliches extant in politics,and combined with his physical attractiveness,it works for him. In a debate with a well coached Scheer, Trudeau will be cannon fodder,IF Scheer works on HIS ability to speak and debate.

    The CPC has to kick out the 1950’s campaign style,and work with Scheer to make him the best political orator since Tim Buck. failing that,and campaigning on the old methods,the CPC will fail miserably,and Trudeau will win another majority.

    1. I offered to help Andrew Scheer in his election campaign strategy planning team. I emailed him several times. I left messages at his office. Andrew Scheer like Old School Conservatives, did what most Conservatives do when they think they know it all – he never responded, not even to say, thank you for trying but we know it all and don’t need any help. Andrew Scheer has been given job title as Opposition Leader and will likely keep his job for several consecutive terms under Justin Trudeau’s reign. Conservatives could have a chance to defeat Justin Trudeau in the October 2019 election if they employ me on thier election campaign strategy planning team. Liberal engineering won’t accept any such help for Andrew Scheer. His job shall remain nice guy opposition leader.

  6. Although it is still rather early in the game, and Scheer is still being “introduced” to the Canadian people, his likability is not enough to win. He must, in his own style, start to build up his attack on Trudeau. Canadians are getting fed up with Justin and his mistakes are mounting, but Scheer must go on the attack relatively soon. In the meantime, grassroots Canadians must start political action on their own to dethrone Trudeau. I note that several new organizations based on Conservative principles, like Democracy Defence Initiative and Freedom Defence Canada, are rising up. Canadians must get behind such organizations if they are to counter the Trudeau narrative.

    1. Hurting Canadians seek solidarity in defence against Justin Trudeau. The Canada our forefathers built is being denied future generations. Many Canadians are abandoning hope that Andrew Scheer is equipped to defeat Justin Trudeau. Conservatives must improve upon its Old School image; otherwise, Conservatives will amount to nothing more than accomplice to further Liberal destruction of Canada.

  7. Although I would vote PC no matter what, I always said that Scheers isn’t the guy we need. He is to timid and it’s time for a strong and vocal leader. There is to much at play to be to nice. Sometimes I wonder if the PC’s really want to win.

  8. I agree. Scheers just doesn’t come across as tough enough. We need a very strong leader to combat this leftist/socialist movement. We DON’T need a wishy-washy guy who’s going to pander to the alt-left and give them “understanding”. The world has gone bonkers and we need someone who has a well thought out plan to put common sense back into play.

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