After Attack Ad Barrage, Patrick Brown’s Lead Over Liberals Falls To Just 3 Points

By pandering to political correctness and copying Liberal positions, Patrick Brown suppresses his own supporters while doing nothing to mitigate against attacks from the left.

A new Campaign Research Poll shows that the Kathleen Wynne Liberals are within 3 points of Patrick Brown’s PCs, despite the government being massively unpopular.

The poll puts the PCs at 35%, the Liberals at 32%, and the NDP at 23%.

So, what explains the Liberals being so close?

Patrick Brown isn’t that popular either.

In the wake of a new barrage of union-funded attack ads, Patrick Brown’s approval rating has fallen to a dismal 21%, with 29% disapproving and 50% having no opinion.

The attack ads have focused mostly on Brown’s pro-life voting record while in Parliament, and appear to be taking a toll.

Since September, his approval rating is down 4 points, while his disapproval rating went up by 4 points.

Among female voters, Patrick Brown’s approval rating is down to just 15%, which is even worse than Kathleen Wynne’s rating of 16% among women.

Kathleen Wynne’s ratings also fell, dropping from 23% to 16% among men. However, she is maintaining enough support from the anti-PC vote to remain competitive.

“Pandering Patrick” strategy won’t work

Patrick Brown’s strategy so far has been to shift to the left on everything, from opposing Bill 62 (even foolishly calling it “racist), to supporting carbon taxes, and basically copying most Liberal policy.

As a result, Patrick Brown’s core supporters – who make up the people who volunteer, donate, and convince others to vote PC – will have lower enthusiasm. Meanwhile, Brown won’t get any benefit from turning against his base, because the left will attack him as a far-right extremist no matter what he does.

So, Brown can either be attacked while having motivated core voters, or he can be attacked while having suppressed core voters.

Either way he’ll get attacked, but by sticking with the core principles of his party he has a much better chance of fighting back and winning.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube

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Roman
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Roman

Bye-bye Ontario. You are just screwed.

And as for Patrick Brown, you are a traitor to Social Conservatives who make (or made) up a large part of your base.

dee
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dee

provincial p.c’s can do much better than truduh! lite (brown). we need someone who is conservative not a liberal wanna be. the provincial pc’s need to be making themselves heard. I am a pc and I have sent emails to the provincial pcs wanting to hear about how they are going to attack wynne next election. crickets…

Ann
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Ann

I am very upset that the Conservative Party of Ontario have Patrick Brown to lead the Conservatives. We have voted in a Conservative in my riding and are afraid that he may NOT get the vote next time with Patrick Brown as his leader. He sounds like a Liberal and a Dictator like Justin Trudeau! He put in his two cents when he said that Bill 62 in Quebec is Racist. This is a bill that the MAJORITY of Canadians across Canada AGREE with. Many Conservatives in my Riding have been saying that they will NOT Vote because of Patrick… Read more »

Miles Lunn
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This is one poll and campaign research seems to show a much closer race than other polls. Forum shows PC’s with a 21 point lead. What Brown needs to do is fight back and prove these lies. Ontario PC’s have never been a social conservative party and social conservatism is a minority view in Ontario so you don’t win it. Bill Davis was a Red Tory and to the left of Brown while Mike Harris was more right wing economically but on social issues was fairly progressive. I think the real problem is Canada is a left wing country so… Read more »

SmilinJack
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SmilinJack

Brown is blowing it for the PCs just like the leftist Progressive leaders that came before him going all the way back to Ernie. I was done with Brown when he BURNED the bridge behind him to the very base of support that got him elected leader.

I’m well beyond anger at this point. I’ve reached cold anger.

I will do whatever I can to help them lose. Brown and his ilk have got to go. If I wanted Lib Light, I’d vote for the real thing, the Liberals. spit