Liberals Take 3 Out Of 4 Byelections, Conservatives Hold Saskatchewan Seat


Gordie Hogg takes South Surrey—White Rock from Conservatives, defeating Kerry-Lynne Findlay.

The Liberals won 3 out of 4 byelections on Monday, in a night that will raise tough questions for both Andrew Scheer and Jagmeet Singh.

In Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, the Liberals won about 69% of the vote, with the second-place Conservative candidate winning about 23%.

In Scarborough-Agincourt, a seat the Conservatives hoped to steal, the Liberals won about 49%, with the Conservatives near 40.5%.

In Battlefords-Lloydminster, the Conservatives had their one win of the night, pulling in about 70% of the vote, with the NDP in second around 13%.

Finally, in South Surrey—White Rock (a riding previously held by the Conservatives), the Liberals won just over 47%, with the Conservatives close behind around 42%.

While all results are preliminary, there are not enough outstanding polls to change the final results.

Tough night for Scheer, terrible night for Singh

The loss of South Surrey-White Rock, and the failure to pick up Scarborough-Agincourt, will raise some tough questions for Andrew Scheer and the Conservative Party. With Trudeau on the defensive after a rough trip to China, and numerous ethics issues filling the headlines, the Liberals were still able to hold onto their seats and take one away from the Conservatives, showing that their organization and electoral base will not be easily swept-away.

That said, the Conservative base held steady, showing that while the Conservatives are not making any gains, they aren’t collapsing either.

However, the weakness of the NDP is a big problem for Scheer, as he won’t be able to rely on vote-splits to achieve victory.

And that brings us to Jagmeet Singh, who had a terrible night.

The NDP won a minuscule percentage in each riding, finishing near 5% everywhere except Battlefords-Lloydminster. Even there, they only won about 13%.

Singh has zero momentum, and faces the dangerous trap that consumed previous NDP leaders (except Jack Layton in 2011), as the Liberals are winning the votes of NDP voters who don’t want to “waste” their votes and vote Liberal to stop the Conservatives.

If Singh can’t turn things around, the NDP will fall further into obscurity at the federal level, and the Conservatives will need to get far tougher – shifting towards Populism – in order to defeat Trudeau in 2019. Lucky vote-splits aren’t going to cut it anymore.

Elections Canada Results here

Spencer Fernando


10 comments Add yours
  1. I am shocked about Surrey – White Rock. People voted for banning free speech, for sharia Muslim law, for letting illegals simply walk into the country, for female genital mutilation, for contempt of Parliament, for the Federal Government lieing to Canadians, for importing ISIS terrorists, for selling off Canada to the Chinese, for letting foreigners launder money through Canada, for palestinian violence in Vancouver.

    What were those people thinking? Why didn’t they stand up for Canada? Pathetic. Disgusting.

    1. Only 38% voted in Surrey. Not an excuse but shows how unconcerned Canadians are about Canada. This seat was Conservative for the past 70 years. Now, I’m hoping Sheer will stop being so failure conservative, meaning, quiet, and not voicing values and fears of Canadians. Lean out loud on immigration, taxes, and Liberal corruption. Also, how about appealing to the middle class by promising massive tax cuts like Trump. Sheer needs to study Trump, just as Trudeau studied Obama!!!!!!!! I don’t think Sheer has a hope in hell because he doesn’t inspire change. How about Sheer doing some Trump type tweets?

  2. I don’t understand how the Liberals continue to hang on. What is wrong with people?
    Are they afraid to challenge this corrupt arrogant controlling gov? People, start thinking about the last 2 yrs. this is seriously ,scary stuff. Now start thinking of the next 2 yrs..We will have no voice, we will be controlled by the Soros elites. Hard to believe things got out of control so fast.

  3. After 2 years of that whiny, arrogant, destructive, treasonous and clueless piece of trash Trudeau, how in the world can anyone vote liberal???????

  4. There are many Canadians that don’t have a clue what is going on in Canada or what Trudeau is doing. Then there are those that don’t care and those that say, “There is nothing we can do about it” or “It is what it is and I don’t pay attention to politics..not interested”. Many just care about the large sum of money Trudeau has hiked the Child Benefit up to or getting marijuana legalized. These are the biggest concerns for them and most don’t see anything past that. The fact that Trudeau might have a chance for another 4 years is mind boggling and scary as he**. Of course if Trudeau is re-elected, he will consider this to mean “Canadian’s love him” and are in favour of what he is doing to Canada. But the truth is…some people just don’t care or don’t have a clue. I have neighbours and work mates who are totally in the dark with what is going on in the Government and can’t be bothered with knowing anything. They never watch the news or read the papers/internet. Trudeau has been in for just over 2 years now and we have less than 2 years to go and look at all the damage he has done. Add another 4 years to that and we won’t recognize Canada because he just doesn’t have Canadians or Canada’s best interest in mind. Plus we are going to be in the poor house with his frivolous spending, tax hikes, carbon tax, millions for illegals, reward money paid to terrorists, wasted money on projects, etc. and Canada’s debt will grow substantially with absolutely no way of fixing it. It’s time for Andrew Scheer to step up and take a stand over Trudeau. The PM is bulldozing every Party, especially the Conservatives. Scheer, fight back. Speak up. Tell Canadians what you are going to do to fix this mess if you win. Make yourself known. Most people don’t even know who Andrew Scheer is.

  5. We need a new slogan instead of the one that everyone knows. Change the slogan from ‘if you don’t vote you have no right to complain’ to ‘Please DON’T get out and vote in the next election if you have not been paying attention and are uninformed, you could be voting for a dictator, a communist, or a mentally unstable person’! Tune into CPAC and watch the happenings that are affecting everyone for a starter. Better than a soap opera and it will change your world. You can’t label the happenings in our parliament as fake news, it’s really happening right there under our very noses.

  6. The political ignorance of the Canadian electorate never ceases to amaze me. Massive debt, $631 Billion, Interest payments $2 billion a month, using future generations as collateral, appears to create little or no concern amongst the “Me” society. They will pay the price when they reach retirement age, there’ll be nothing available other than poverty. Canada will be a carbon copy of Venezuela!! They will have only themselves to blame!!

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