As the Bloc loses support, the Conservatives are gaining.
While the Liberals (with an assist from much of the elitist press) try to claim the mantle of Canadian unity, the truth is that they’ve done far more to nearly tear Canada apart.
By contrast, support for Quebec separation declined dramatically while Stephen Harper was in power.
While Harper often wasn’t that popular in Quebec, his philosophy of a less centralized federal government showed respect for more local governance, something that was highly respected in Quebec and made it tougher for separatists to argue that the federal government was overbearing.
Unfortunately, Justin Trudeau has turned back towards more centralization, and provincial relations in Canada – particularly in the West – are worse than they have been in decades.
That said, the combination of Trudeau’s increasingly authoritarian attitude and the collapse/splintering of the Bloc Quebecois is leading to an opening for the Conservatives, and Andrew Scheer is making the most of it.
Scheer has reached out to the province, saying “Inside the Conservative Party, there is room for both nationalists who are tired of squabbles and federalists who can no longer stand seeing [Prime Minister] Justin Trudeau living in his Care Bear world.”
He appeared on the heavily-watched show Tout le monde en parle and performed well.
And recently, former Bloc Quebecois Leader Michel Gauthier renounced sovereignty and decided to join the Conservatives.
As a result, the Conservatives have surged in Quebec.
According to a recent Léger poll, the Liberals are at 40% in the province, followed by the Conservatives at 29%, which is a seven point jump in the last month. Meanwhile, the NDP have collapsed to just 15% in the province, and the Bloc has collapsed even more, pulling in just 10%.
The Globe & Mail reported that Leger’s executive VP says “the Conservatives are having some success in recreating the “blue alliance” between Conservative supporters and nationalist voters, which was a key to Brian Mulroney’s strong showings in Quebec in the 1980s.”
Quebec and the East Coast have been the top redoubt of support for the Trudeau Liberals, even as their support falls in Ontario and the West. If the Conservatives can close the gap in Quebec, Trudeau’s position will weaken even further.
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